Award Predictions, Oscars Everett Mansur Award Predictions, Oscars Everett Mansur

Oscar Predictions 2024

This past week (on Tuesday), Oscar nominations were released, ushering in the peak of film awards season. Oppenheimer led the nominees with thirteen nominations, becoming just the fourteenth film to reach that number or more, followed by eleven for Poor Things and ten for Killers of the Flower Moon.

                Welcome to a special edition of the Weekend Watch – the Oscars 2024 predictions. This past week (on Tuesday), Oscar nominations were released, ushering in the peak of film awards season. Oppenheimer led the nominees with thirteen nominations, becoming just the fourteenth film to reach that number or more, followed by eleven for Poor Things and ten for Killers of the Flower Moon. Barbie and Maestro were the other two films receiving more than five nominations. For the first time ever, three films directed by women have been nominated for Best Picture, seven LGBTQ+ characters are included in the acting nominees, and two LGBTQ+ actors are nominated for portraying said characters (all firsts). Lily Gladstone became the first Indigenous American actress to be nominated for an Academy Award, and nine other actors received their first nominations. Let’s get into my predictions!

Best Live Action Short:

                The nominees for this category are: The After, Invincible, Knight of Fortune, Red, White, and Blue, and The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar. I caught three of these films this week, after nominations came out and have watched the trailers for the other two, so here’s my thoughts.

Should Win: Knight of Fortune. Of the three that I watched, this one blew me away the most. It plays in that very real area that combines grief with absurdity and really hits the right notes throughout. Unfortunately, it’s in a category with another film about processing grief, a film about abortion rights, a film about the juvenile detention system, and a film by Wes Anderson, so I’m not overly optimistic.

Will Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar. It’s a Wes Anderson film that happens to come in under the forty-minute mark, and it’s the lightest of the five nominees, and it’s available to stream on Netflix. Across the board, this is the most accessible, but I won’t be particularly upset if it doesn't win.

Best Documentary Short:

                The nominees for this category are: The ABCs of Book Banning, The Barber of Little Rock, Island in Between, The Last Repair Shop, and Năi Nai and Wài Pó. Again, I was able to catch a couple of these this week after nominations dropped, and I’ve read about the rest, so here we go.

Should Win: The Barber of Little Rock. As someone originally from Little Rock, I’ll admit to a very strong bias here, but I will say that this film also speaks to relevant issues of systemic racism, wealth inequality, and the inherent problems with the modern system of capital, so it’s not just sentiment that has me put it here.

Will Win: The ABCs of Book Banning. This might be the most topical film in the mix, and MTV documentaries always does a good job. I do think that it’s probably also very deserving, so I won’t be that disappointed if it wins.

Best Animated Short:

                The nominees for this category are: Letter to a Pig, Ninety-Five Senses, Our Uniform, Pachyderme, and War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko. Like many, I was surprised to see Disney left out of this category yet again, but it seems that the animation branch of the Academy is just generally moving in that direction. Let’s talk about it.

Should Win: Ninety-Five Senses. I’m really just saying this because I think it’d be cool for the people who made Napoleon Dynamite and Nacho Libre win an Oscar – and also Tim Blake Nelson is great.

Will Win: War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko. The Academy rarely misses on a chance to give a potentially less-than-deserving award to films about and/or inspired by musicians of the 60s, 70s, and 80s, so I expect it to go this way again.

Best International Film:

                The nominees for this category are: Io Capitano, Perfect Days, Society of the Snow, The Teachers’ Lounge, and The Zone of Interest. The Japan nomination for Perfect Days saved this from being an entirely European category, but even it was directed by European director Wim Wenders, so I don’t know how much of a step this really is for the Academy. Nothing overly surprising here besides France (rightfully) being left out because they submitted The Taste of Things instead of Anatomy of a Fall for political reasons – play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

Should Win: Perfect Days. It’s too simple of a film to actually win, but Wenders is great at making films with meaning about the mundane, and I’d like to see him finally get some awards recognition for it. He won’t, but still.

Will Win: The Zone of Interest. Only one of these nominees is nominated in multiple other categories, including above-the-line categories like Best Picture, Director, and Adapted Screenplay. It’d be a crazy upset if this doesn’t win.

Best Documentary Feature:

                The nominees for this category are: Bobi Wine: The People’s President, The Eternal Memory, Four Daughters, To Kill a Tiger, and 20 Days in Mariupol. I don’t have a lot to say about this category besides pointing out the snub of Jon Batiste’s American Symphony here.

Should Win: Bobi Wine: The People’s President. If they were consistent, they’d give the award again to the film about an opposition party leader in a historically authoritarian nation.

Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol. They’re going to be consistent in a different direction and keep giving awards to movies about violence in Eastern Europe because they’d rather talk about that than violence anywhere else in the world.

Best Animated Feature:

                The nominees for this category are: The Boy and the Heron, Elemental, Nimona, Robot Dreams, and Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. Robot Dreams better be one of the best animated films ever made because nominating a film that isn’t even widely available over Ninja Turtles, Suzume, The First Slam Dunk, and The Super Mario Bros. Movie feels crazy to me. Everything else is an excellent choice, though.

Should Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. Not only is this film one of the best animated films ever, but it’s also simply one of the best films ever. It accomplishes so much with animation that you just don’t see in the mainstream and does it in entertaining fashion. Is The Boy and the Heron also really good? Yes, but love for Miyazaki shouldn’t trump the all-time marvel that is Across the Spider-Verse.

Will Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. I won’t be surprised to see The Boy and the Heron here because the narrative seems to be sticking that it’s Miyazaki’s “last” movie (I’ll believe that when I see an obituary for the man and not a second earlier). Realistically, though, it still looks like the anime’s Globes win was a flash in the pan and the Spider-Verse trilogy is about to go two-for-two in this category.

Best Visual Effects:

                The nominees in this category are: The Creator, Godzilla Minus One, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, and Napoleon. This is one of the weirdest categories of the year, and the inexplicable Oppenheimer snub from the shortlist is only the tip of that weirdness iceberg. Here we go.

Should Win: Godzilla Minus One. In actuality, this should be Oppenheimer or Spider-Verse, but we’re stuck with these nominees, so I’m giving it to the most exciting of the nominees, and not the exceedingly overrated Mission: Impossible film or the pity nominations for the Rogue One guy and Ridley Scott.

Will Win: The Creator. A mid-budget (for the U.S.) film with these visuals probably is the most deserving in the category and probably will pull it off.

Best Sound:

                The nominees in this category are: The Creator, Maestro, Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, Oppenheimer, and The Zone of Interest. A few surprises here and there in this category, but the favorite is still here, and none of them feel overly undeserving (except maybe Dead Reckoning, which I’ll campaign against forever as one of the most disappointing films of the year).

Should Win: Maestro. The sound and cinematography in this film are really what make it worth watching above and beyond the acting performances, and I think it’d be cool to award that.

Will Win: Oppenheimer. I also think this should win, but I wanted to give Maestro its due. This film is big in every aspect of the word, and its sound only helps to contribute to that sense of scale. It’s excellent.

Best Song:

                The nominees in this category are: “The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot, “I’m Just Ken” from Barbie, “It Never Went Away” from American Symphony, “Wahzhazhe” from Killers of the Flower Moon, and “What Was I Made For?” from Barbie. Should “Dance the Night” be here over either “What Was I Made For?”, “Wahzhazhe”, or “The Fire Inside”? Absolutely, but them’s the brakes.

Should Win: “I’m Just Ken”. Of the five nominees, this provides the most exciting addition to the film that it’s part of, and it has some relistenability as opposed to the Billie Eilish track, which should have been left out in favor of Dua Lipa’s “Dance the Night” anyway.

Will Win: “What Was I Made For?”. Billie Eilish is coming for her second Oscar this year and has been campaigning for it since her acceptance speech at the Golden Globes. This song is mid, but it’ll win anyway. That’s all.

Best Score:

                The nominees in this category are: Laura Karpman for American Fiction, John Williams for Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Robbie Robertson for Killers of the Flower Moon, Ludwig Göransson for Oppenheimer, and Jerskin Fendrix for Poor Things. Seeing John Williams in here feels like seeing Diane Warren in for Original Song – they’ve gotta do it, but it leaves out much more deserving nominees every time, this time in the form of Daniel Pemberton for Across the Spider-Verse.

Should Win: Laura Karpman for American Fiction or Jerskin Fendrix for Poor Things. Both of these scores feel the most unique of the crew, but they’re not crazy big or over-the-top, so they won’t actually pull it off.

Will Win: Ludwig Göransson for Oppenheimer. It’s an excellent score too that is by no means undeserving, and it will probably become the most iconic of this year’s scores anyway, so I’m not that disappointed that it’s headed in this direction.

Best Production Design:

                The nominees in this category are: Barbie, Killers of the Flower Moon, Napoleon, Oppenheimer, and Poor Things. Nothing feels overly surprising here, but I will say that it feels weird to keep nominating Napoleon for being such an underachieving film in its other aspects when The Color Purple is right there on the outside looking in in most of these categories.

Should Win: Barbie. The creation of Barbieland, the construction of the Barbie Dream House, the layout of the Mattel office. Everything in the film feels intentionally crafted to be itself and also an homage to other great films of bygone eras. It’s a great technical achievement.

Will Win: Barbie. The only other legitimate contender here is Poor Things, but I don’t see it passing the iconic design of Barbie.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

                The nominees in this category are: Golda, Maestro, Oppenheimer, Poor Things, and Society of the Snow. Again, we see this category skewed heavily in favor of the makeup with hairstyling coming as a distant afterthought.

Should Win: Poor Things. They do some really fun and creative things here with both the makeup and the hair for all of the characters, so it’d be fun to see that rewarded.

Will Win: Maestro. The age makeup is really pretty excellent here, so I get why it’s going to win, but I also know that everyone’s going to make a big deal about the whole nose fiasco, so… It’s whatever.

Best Film Editing:

                The nominees in this category are: Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, and Poor Things. I don’t feel overly qualified to make judgements about film editing, but this feels like a pretty stacked category this year.

Should Win: The Holdovers. They made this film look like a 1970s school drama, and that’s all I really have to say in favor of it, but I feel like that’s all I have to say. It’s great.

Will Win: Oppenheimer. They do some fun things with the different eras here, and it feels like a film destined to win most of its below-the-line nominations, so I’m fine with it.

Best Costume Design:

                The nominees in this category are: Barbie, Killers of the Flower Moon, Napoleon, Oppenheimer, and Poor Things. Again, it’s weird to see Napoleon over The Color Purple or even Wonka, but otherwise, it’s a pretty vanilla category.

Should Win: Barbie. They recreated so many iconic Barbie sets that I can’t see how you could ignore the excellence in costume design here.

Will Win: Barbie. Last year, the film that recreated seemingly hundreds of iconic looks missed out on the win, but I don’t expect that to be the case this time around.

Best Cinematography:

                The nominees for this category are: El Conde, Killers of the Flower Moon, Maestro, Oppenheimer, and Poor Things. Only one of these films doesn’t have a black and white sequence, so I feel like that’s going to become a pretty clear indicator for this category going forward.

Should Win: Poor Things. Robbie Ryan is a fantastic cinematographer, and his collaborations with Yorgos Lanthimos have been nothing short of gorgeous. There are shots in this film that you just don’t see anywhere else, so he’s more than deserving of the win.

Will Win: Oppenheimer. This film also has excellent visuals, so it won’t at all be a snub or anything for it to win. It looks great and utilizes camerawork well, and I’ll be glad to see it win.

Best Original Screenplay:

                The nominees in this category are: Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, Maestro, May December, and Past Lives. This is a stacked category with four incredibly deserving nominees and a biopic. I won’t be that upset about anything, but here are my official opinions.

Should Win: Past Lives. One of the singular most moving romantic dramas that has ever been made. It’s brilliant, and the writing hooks you from the jump. Celine Song deserves everything.

Will Win: The Holdovers. In order to keep its long-shot hopes alive for a Best Picture upset, it needs to beat out Anatomy of a Fall here, and I think it will, especially with Payne snubbed for the directing Oscar.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

                The nominees in this category are: American Fiction, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Poor Things, and The Zone of Interest. We can keep going around and around about Barbie being an original screenplay (it is even if its production design is otherwise inspired), or we could just laugh at the message being sent already that Killers is this year’s Irishman by keeping it out of this category entirely.

Should Win: Oppenheimer. He wrote this screenplay in first person. That’s egregious, but it’s also really impressive, so give it to Nolan.

Will Win: American Fiction. This is the only other film that should have a shot in this category, and I think it pulls out the win over Barbie and Oppenheimer. I also won’t be surprised if it misses, though. It’s a really tough call.

Best Supporting Actor:

                The nominees in this category are: Sterling K. Brown for American Fiction, Robert De Niro for Killers of the Flower Moon, Robert Downey Jr. for Oppenheimer, Ryan Gosling for Barbie, and Mark Ruffalo for Poor Things. This is a stacked category with snubs also abounding – justice for Charles Melton, Dominic Sessa, and Willem Dafoe – but you just can’t fit everyone in with only five nominees, so, while I might’ve preferred Melton over Ruffalo, I don’t think anyone’s undeserving in this crew.

Should Win: Sterling K. Brown for American Fiction. With all the love that Jeffrey Wright has been getting for this film, I was so surprised to see Brown as the more dominant performance in the film, and I loved every second of it. He won me over in this one, and I hope he pulls the upset.

Will Win: Robert Downey Jr. for Oppenheimer. If it’s anyone else, I’d be greatly shocked, and I won’t be at all disappointed to see Downey’s Strauss go down as one of the classic political villains in cinematic history.

Best Supporting Actress:

                The nominees in this category are: Emily Blunt for Oppenheimer, Danielle Brooks for The Color Purple, America Ferrara for Barbie, Jodie Foster for Nyad, and Da’Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers. With the surprise of America Ferrara getting into that toss-up of a fifth spot, nothing is that crazy in this category.

Should Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers. She gives the best performance out of these five, and if she doesn’t win, we riot.

Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers. Ditto to what I said above.

Best Actor:

                The nominees in this category are: Bradley Cooper for Maestro, Colman Domingo for Rustin, Paul Giamatti for The Holdovers, Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer, and Jeffrey Wright for American Fiction. As much as people are decrying Bradley Cooper for “overacting” in Maestro, their favorite “snubbed” actor was doing much worse in Killers of the Flower Moon. I’m totally fine that Leo telling us ten different times about how much he loves money missed out on the nom here in favor of Domingo’s film-carrying performance in Rustin.

Should Win: Paul Giamatti for The Holdovers. Oh man, what a fun performance to pull off what will also end up being a “legacy” Oscar if it happens. He’s great in this film and more than deserving of a win.

Will Win: Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer. I’m still not ready to fully commit to Giamatti winning over Cillian, so that’s why this is here. I also won’t be that upset with anyone winning in this category, so that definitely helps. I think Cillian does give one of the best performances of his career and definitely deserves the consideration he’s gotten so far.

Best Actress:

                The nominees in this category are: Annette Bening for Nyad, Lily Gladstone for Killers of the Flower Moon, Sandra Hüller for Anatomy of a Fall, Carey Mulligan for Maestro, and Emma Stone for Poor Things. Talk about a stacked category with four amazing performances and a biopic! Was Margot Robbie probably better than Annette Bening? Sure, but that’s said and done and there’s nothing that whining about it online will do to change that.

Should Win: Emma Stone for Poor Things. Great as all the women in this category are in their respective films, Stone gives the singular most original performance possibly of anyone ever in the history of cinema. Every scene of the film, I was amazed at the new physical, expressive, and verbal tricks that she was able to put on display, and when she loses, I’m going to be quite disappointed.

Will Win: Lily Gladstone for Killers of the Flower Moon. If this win was coming for Supporting Actress, I’d say that it would be the most deserving win in years in that category. As it stands, this is going to feel a bit questionable because of how limited her screentime is. For everyone saying, “Oh, but you can feel her absence and presence even when she’s not there,” I think actually what you’re getting at is the way that Scorsese made you feel the presence and absence of the Osage as a whole, and it feels weird giving a single performance credit for an entire people group, especially a minority – it feels too close to monolithing for my taste. She is great, but I’m just not fully comfortable with calling it the best leading performance of the year when Emma Stone is right there. Also, all that high school stuff and comparing Poor Things to Frankenhooker is just campaigning, so y’all are suckers idk.

Best Director:

                The nominees in this category are: Justine Triet for Anatomy of a Fall, Martin Scorsese for Killers of the Flower Moon, Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer, Yorgos Lanthimos for Poor Things, and Jonathan Glazer for The Zone of Interest. I get the frustration over leaving Greta Gerwig and/or Celine Song out here. Unfortunately, the directing branch of the Academy is dominated by old white men who think that comedies have to be weird, dark, tragic, or made by Adam McKay to be considered well-directed, so here we are. It’s not even that any of these are necessarily undeserving directors either, though I would argue that throwing a red screen in the middle of a film with weird noises played over it doesn’t suddenly make it great, but I’m just a blogger, so what do I know?

Should Win: Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer. He has made one of the best films of his career, and it’s finally getting recognized for it. Good for him!

Will Win: Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer. He’s really one of the best directors in the modern age at getting his vision fully on the screen in a way that massive moviegoing audiences also love (Tenet notwithstanding), and he’ll finally get that win here.

Best Picture:

                The nominees for the top prize at the Oscars are: American Fiction, Anatomy of a Fall, Barbie, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Maestro, Oppenheimer, Past Lives, Poor Things, and The Zone of Interest. Any year where most people can say that they’ve seen multiple nominees on the list and liked them is a good year for Best Picture, and this is one of the best in a long time. No real misses even if I was less than whelmed by Zone and Poor Things, they’re still well-made films. Let’s take a look.

Should Win: Past Lives. It’s my favorite film of the year, but it has no real chance of winning after missing on basically every big category besides Original Screenplay. It’d be great to see it win, but that’s asking way too much.

Will Win: Oppenheimer. The film has dominated the discourse since its release, and none of the other films seem to have much of a shot at toppling this film from the top. It’s more than deserving of this top spot, though.

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Movies, November, Recap Everett Mansur Movies, November, Recap Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - November 2023 Recap

November brought a host of highly anticipated films to theaters and streaming services, but outside of one legitimate success and a few surprise overachievers, the month underperformed overall.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review, and recommendation. This week, we have come to the end of another month of films and will be recapping the most noteworthy releases of the month. They’ll be categorized by their likelihood of making it onto this blog’s list of the Greatest Films of All Time and cementing themselves in cinematic history: Long Shots are those with the toughest road ahead of them, noteworthy for their support from either critics or audiences or for their awards potential but struggling in at least one of those other spots; Possible Things are films that have done a bit better for themselves, earning above average marks from critics and audiences but not quite to a level of “all-time” greatness, and Sure Things are films that need no extra help to cement themselves in history (though they most likely will receive some awards love too). November brought a host of highly anticipated films to theaters and streaming services, but outside of one legitimate success and a few surprise overachievers, the month underperformed overall, leaving us with a decent showing of films but very little in terms of legitimate staying power. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Nyad: This Netflix biopic of distance swimmer Diana Nyad probably stands the best chance of making it out of this category thanks to the strong performances of its two leading ladies – Annette Bening in the titular role and Jodie Foster as her coach Bonnie Stoll – but its formulaic delivery of its real-life story has landed it solidly in the just okay range of both audience and critic scores, so we’ll see.

Sly: Documentaries about Hollywood actors have abounded this year, particularly ones released by Netflix, and I think we’re starting to see an oversaturation take place. This one about the life and career of Sylvester Stallone sounds like one sure to please his fans but that might not have a wide enough fan base to experience the larger success it’ll need to overcome very average critical reception.

The Killer: David Fincher’s latest thriller was one of the year’s most anticipated, but it has landed with a plop rather than a splash in its brief theatrical run and then on its Netflix release. The slow-burn character study of a hired killer looking to maybe get out of the game and get back at those who wronged him has left everyone praising Fincher’s direction but a bit frustrated with the overall film for its slowness and lack of compelling character development.

Thanksgiving: On the other hand, Eli Roth’s holiday slasher is a film that has outdone its expectations, receiving mildly above average audience reviews for the return of classic slasher tropes and fun tongue-in-cheek humor. Will it actually have any staying power beyond the usual cult followings of slasher films? Probably not, but never say never.

Saltburn: Emerald Fennell’s sophomore feature has received the Babylon treatment from critics, deeming it too shocking to be “great”. Whatever. Its Metacritic score of 60 and Tomatometer of 71% mean that its chances of rising much higher on this blog’s list are slim-to-none, but don’t let that stop you from seeing this wild romp through the aristocracy of Britain.

Rustin: Another based-on-a-true-story performance-driven biopic from Netflix that has even slimmer chances of lingering on. Odd tonal choices and an underwhelming third act have left this well-acted film fairly far down on many people’s lists of the year’s best films, and I don’t see Colman Domingo elevating the whole thing by himself – even as phenomenal as his performance is.

The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes: The adaptation of Suzanne Collins’s prequel novel has managed to hit the perfect note with audiences, earning it a top-25 box office this year and surprisingly solid reviews from fans. Even with a lack of matching support from critics, this film has something going for it that makes it worth checking out.

Napoleon: Oh look, another biopic. It’s almost like formulaic biographical films just don’t hit like they did in the 1990s and 2000s or something. Ridley Scott, Joaquin Phoenix, and Vanessa Kirby being attached to this film keep it at very long odds of rising above, but with three other films just from this year that are based on true stories from the past with great production design, it’s hard to see this historical epic breaking through.

Possible Things:

Fremont: Probably one of the most indie films of the year, this black and white film about an Afghan former translator now working at a fortune cookie factory in the U.S. landed on streaming this month after some very limited theatrical runs. The small amount of audience and critic reviews have been positive, but I don’t know that it’s enough to bring it to the attention of the right people to elevate above the hump that so many decent indie films face when trying to make it as all-timers.

Priscilla: Sofia Coppola’s unique style helps the Priscilla Presley biopic rise above the rank and file, and Cailee Spaeny’s leading performance definitely doesn’t hurt either. Down the road, I won’t be at all surprised if this film’s audience reviews rise much higher than they currently are, but the current Elvis Presley love has hurt its ratings, as it doesn’t paint the rockstar in nearly as positive a light as his biopic last year did. Still, there’s an outside shot it makes it already this year.

Dream Scenario: The comedy horror about a man who finds himself becoming a dream celebrity when everyone seems to be dreaming about him at night might be too wacky to earn the awards love that it’ll need to get from the quality film to all time greatness status. Nicolas Cage as the leading man certainly helps its chances, as does the distribution by A24, so don’t count it all the way out.

Radical: The Sundance hit, starring Eugenio Derbez, about a Mexican schoolteacher looking to improve his students’ experience by radical means has finally hit theaters (at least in my area), and the reviews are staying strongly positive. Unfortunately, with Mexico backing Tótem as its entry for International Feature at awards shows this year, I don’t see it getting enough attention to raise it out of its general anonymity at the moment.

American Symphony: The Netflix documentary about musician Jon Batiste has already landed in many conversations as a frontrunner for the year’s biggest documentary awards, and with Batiste as the subject and Matthew Heineman (Cartel Land) as the director, I can see why. Since its release on Netflix, the audience and critic reviews have been just above average, so it’ll need that awards love to make it a must-see for most moviegoers.

Sure Things:

The Holdovers: The month’s only sure thing is also its best performer, hitting all the notes it was expected to, earning a place on many viewers’ lists of must-watch holiday films going forward. Alexander Payne’s film about a schoolteacher and his troubled student who stay for the Christmas holiday at their boarding school with the school’s head cook in 1970. The combination of strong performances, original story, and throwback visuals make this a must-see and a potential award favorite this year.

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New Movie, October, Recap Everett Mansur New Movie, October, Recap Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - October 2023 Recap

October has been the first month where we’ve really felt the impact of the film delays brought about by the SAG and WGA strikes that are happening because production studios refuse to pay fair wages and provide proper benefits to their employees, bringing an abbreviated slate of films but a decent one that has at least a few films worth seeing ASAP and others worth keeping an eye on.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating and review. This week, we are looking back at the films released in the month of October, recapping those of note that have a shot at making their way onto this blog’s list of Greatest Films of All Time, categorized by likelihood into three groups – Long Shots, Possible Things, and Sure Things. October has been the first month where we’ve really felt the impact of the film delays brought about by the SAG and WGA strikes that are happening because production studios refuse to pay fair wages and provide proper benefits to their employees, bringing an abbreviated slate of films but a decent one that has at least a few films worth seeing ASAP and others worth keeping an eye on. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Totally Killer: Amazon’s time travel slasher kicked the month off with a bit of a bang in the real of horror, leaning into the self-aware tropes that has permeated the subgenre of late with decent success. It’s probably not going to win any awards, but it’s always nice to have another decently solid slasher to add to the yearly watch.

The Royal Hotel: The indie thriller about Americans backpacking through Australia, starring Julia Garner and Jessica Henwick, has all the makings of a cult classic. It’s done solidly with critics and has divided audiences. It’s flying far enough under the radar that I don’t expect to see it suddenly rising in any of its ratings or awards odds, but there’s always a chance.

Last Stop Larrimah: Max’s crime documentary about an Australian town of eleven residents has landed to some minor amount of buzz. It lives in an interesting niche that might do enough for it to gain some awards recognition later this year, which it will need to improve upon its currently just average audience reviews.

Fair Play: Netflix’s marital drama/thriller has been lurking on the edge of people’s list of anticipated films and long-shots for awards all year. Now that it’s here, the Phoebe Dynevor/Alden Ehrenreich vehicle looks to be a solid effort but probably not the streamer’s best bet of nabbing awards this year. The film’s exploration of gender roles and corporate America has left audiences somewhat divided so far.

When Evil Lurks: The Argentinian supernatural horror film released on AMC+ this past week and has been heralded as one of the best horror films of the year. Its critical and audience success should spell further hype as the year wraps up, but its nature as a horror film leaves it inevitably as a long shot to get any kind of boost.

Possible Things:

The Burial: Amazon’s based-on-a-true-story legal drama about corporate takeovers and funeral homes sparked a lot of buzz this month. Its star-studded cast that includes Jamie Foxx and Tommy Lee Jones should be enough to get people watching, and its story and themes have also managed to resonate solidly with audiences and critics. Keep an eye out for it to potentially spoil some campaigns in the coming months.

Anatomy of a Fall: The only reason I’m not putting this in sure things is France’s decision to not name it as their Best International Feature submission for the Academy Awards. Otherwise, this year’s Palme d’Or winner about a woman accused of murdering her husband has all the makings of being one of the best films of the year. It opened this past weekend near me, and I’m looking forward to seeing it soon.

The Pigeon Tunnel: Errol Morris’s latest documentary, this one about legendary novelist John le Carré found a home on Apple TV+ this month. The author’s final interview has the makings of being an all-time classic in the hands of the skilled documentarian, definitely one to keep an eye on.

Sure Things:

Killers of the Flower Moon: Martin Scorsese’s latest true crime epic has already struck majorly successful chords with audiences and critics alike, sitting solidly in the top-3 favorites to win this year’s best picture awards at most of the big shows. The highly necessary story helps put the film in a place of potential staying power as one that will be remembered for years to come.

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour: Following hot on the heels of the remastered re-release of arguably the greatest concert film ever (Stop Making Sense), Taylor Swift released her concert film, which adapts her performance from the Los Angeles stop of her multi-million-dollar-grossing Eras Tour to massive box office returns and incredibly positive responses from audiences and critics. The high energy of the film and Taylor’s excellent capabilities as an entertainer make this one to catch on a very large screen if you can.

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Movies, August, September Everett Mansur Movies, August, September Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - August/September 2023 Recap

August wrapped up the summer blockbuster season in predictably lackluster fashion, and September ushered us into the season of indie awards hopefuls with little promise of actually delivering success in either sector.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating and review. This week, we are looking back at the months of August and September and highlighting the films most likely to have a shot at joining this blog’s list. As always, we’ll break them into three categories – Long Shots, Possible Things, and Sure Things – but (spoiler alert) it’s only Long Shots and Possible Things in this set of months. August wrapped up the summer blockbuster season in predictably lackluster fashion, and September ushered us into the season of indie awards hopefuls with little promise of actually delivering success in either sector (unlike the offerings coming in October, November, and maybe even December). Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Shortcomings: Randall Park’s feature film solo directorial debut about a trio of San Francisco young adults trying to find love opened to solid reviews for a niche romantic dramedy. Unfortunately for it, the film has mostly flown under the radar in gaining any kind of traction for the awards buzz this film would need to overcome the fan reviews, which are only just above average.

Jules: A sci-fi dramedy about aging suburbanites who suddenly find a space alien living in their midst has a quirky enough ring to it to pique some people’s curiosity, especially when considering its cast led by Ben Kingsley and Harriet Sansom Harris. Its unique story keeps it afloat even as the reviews seem to be getting worse by the day, lengthening this film’s odds of success.

Red, White & Royal Blue: Amazon’s gay romantic comedy about a British prince and the son of the American president had fans and critics alike celebrating its fun and originality. It’s unlikely to go far beyond that consideration as far as all-time lists go, but it should stick around among the best rom-coms of the decade so far.

Blue Beetle: The first new hero from DC in some time opened to a lackluster box office performance and reviews that are just high enough above average to place it here. It’s fun, fresh, but maybe a bit too much of a rehash of other superhero origins to get enough traction to rise above its predecessors in the DCEU. Even its visual effects might not be enough to get that requisite nomination for superhero films.

Mutt: This indie film about a trans man who must deal with the emotions of being reintroduced to those who abandoned him when he first transitioned has the makings of something that could make it bigger than this film currently has. Above average reviews and a social setting in Hollywood that currently favors trans narratives featuring trans performers makes this a film to keep the corner of your eye on.

Gran Turismo: This is one of those films that has split fans and critics, seeing massive success with general audiences but below average reviews from critics. I think it comes down to the aggressive amount of advertising for its titular game and game system that critics seem to be punishing director Neill Blomkamp for more than anything else.

You Are So Not Invited to My Bat Mitzvah: Another film that has divided critics and fans but this time from Netflix and in the reverse. This film about teen girls and their friendships and dramas has critics celebrating it to a tune of 91% on Rotten Tomatoes and a Metacritic score of 71, but audiences can’t seem to get over Adam Sandler’s involvement (or maybe they just don’t like positive depictions of female friendship and coming-of-age, who knows).

The Equalizer 3: Whenever Antoine Fuqua teams up with Denzel Washington, it’s worth mentioning, and the third film in their Equalizer trilogy has again hit the right notes with action fans while failing to wow critics, just like its first two installments. With other, more acclaimed, action films on this year’s docket, don’t expect to hear much more buzz from this sequel.

Scout’s Honor: The Secret Files of the Boy Scouts of America: Netflix’s documentary about the sexual abuse cover-ups and scandals in the Boy Scouts has generated some buzz in the world of nonfiction film, but Netflix’s formulaic style of documentary leaves it as a long shot for any wider recognition. Its topical examination will probably end up as a drama film in the coming years anyway.

Aristotle and Dante Discover the Secrets of the Universe: Aitch Alberto’s adaptation of Benjamin Alire Sáenz’s novel of the same name hit just in time for Latin American Heritage Month in the U.S., and it’s seen some level of critical and audience success. Its nature as an indie darling has it looking more like a cult classic than an all-time great, but time will tell.

Sitting in Bars with Cake: The romantic dramedy film based on Audrey Schulman’s novel, inspired by true events, from Amazon seems to have found the right audience on that platform. Critics and fans are decently high on the Yara Shahidi-starring film, but not quite high enough to generate the buzz it will need to go down as one of the all-time greats.

El Conde: Pablo Larraín’s farcical biopic that reimagines Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet as a 250-year-old vampire has the makings of something great like The Death of Stalin, but it hasn’t quite landed as well with audiences or critics. Most reviews have been generally positive but hesitant to award it full marks due to its third act that doesn’t quite land as well as you might hope.

Amerikatsi: Armenia’s entry for Best International Feature this year has divided audiences and critics, mainly because critics don’t like that it’s trying too hard to be a feel-good film and drawing away from some of the harder hitting points of its historical narrative. Nonetheless, audiences have loved the film so far, and maybe its narrative about an Armenian refugee learning about his homeland from prison will gain more traction as it gains wider release.

A Million Miles Away: Amazon has really been nailing it with these films that are just good enough to be considered above average but probably not good enough to do much else. This one tells the dramatized true story of Jose Hernandez, a farm worker who worked his way to becoming an engineer and eventually an astronaut, in what seems to be an above-average crowd-pleaser headlined by Michael Peña in the leading role.

The Saint of Second Chances: Netflix’s documentary about the relationship between former baseball owner Bill Veeck and his son Mike has hit the right feel-good notes that you want in a sports documentary. With only above-average critic ratings, though, it’s hard to see this breaking into any awards conversation, which it will need to achieve the status of greatness.

The Creator: Gareth Edwards’s sci-fi film about AI and humanity hit screens this past month to wide acclaim from fans but a more critical response from critics, who have pointed out that its “original” story draws heavily on tropes from most other “great” sci-fi films. With excellent visuals, this could still snag some under-the-line awards buzz, but I’m still not sold enough because of its very average critical response.

Dumb Money: The comedy/drama adaptation of the GameStop Wall Street situation came to us fairly quickly in terms of turnaround, and with a stacked cast. Its comedic take on the situation smacks of trying to emulate the success of The Big Short, but the only average critical success doesn’t offer much hope that it’ll be able to attain that level of all-time greatness.

Saw X: The tenth film in a horror franchise isn’t necessarily the place you’d expect to see all-time greatness, but this film has actually managed to make it as the first in the series to be Certified Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes, so it’s worth noting. It might not go down in all-time history, but it’s still fun to see horror franchises innovating and improving with new installments.

Possible Things:

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem: The unique animation, fun narrative, and authentic humor have made this film a dark horse for Best Animated Feature. A smaller box office haul and the probably insurmountable greatness of Across the Spider-Verse probably leave this as a nominee at best, but don’t be surprised if this film sneaks in there.

Bottoms: Emma Seligman and Rachel Sennott’s film about lesbians starting a fight club at their school to meet girls just might be the single best film from these two months. It’s funny, fun, and more original than its premise sounds, so a shot at an Original Screenplay nom isn’t completely out of the question to launch them into a position of all-time greatness.

Cassandro: The film about the titular gay amateur wrestler turned international phenomenon that stars Gael García Bernal just might have what it takes to spoil some actor’s hopes for a best lead nomination. This is one of those Amazon films that does more than enough to be considered good and might have what it takes in terms of representation and originality to make it great.

Flora and Son: Irish filmmaker John Carney tends to hit the right notes with critics and audiences with his feel-good dramedies about music, and his latest partnership with Apple seems to be in that same vein. I don’t know that it’s quite at the levels of Sing Street and Once, but don’t fully discount it just yet. A story about a single mom healing her relationship with her son through music sounds right in the sweet spot for Carney.

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Movies, May, Most Anticipated Everett Mansur Movies, May, Most Anticipated Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - May 2023 Recap

May 2023 had one legitimately great blockbuster hit and some indie and documentary sleeper hits, but overall, the month feels like a letdown overall, critically speaking.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review, and recommendation. This week, we’ve come to the end of another month and will be recapping the best films from the month of May – the ones that have some shot of making this blog’s list of Greatest Films of All Time, categorized by likelihood (Long Shots, Possible Things, and Sure Things). Every May since 2018 has felt like a regression for the month, with weaker and weaker blockbusters and not much else. Seriously, this May had a whole week where the “biggest” film dropping was Book Club: The Next Chapter, and we all remember how that was. Yes, May 2023 had one legitimately great blockbuster hit and some indie and documentary sleeper hits, but overall, the month feels like a letdown overall, critically speaking. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Victim/Suspect: Netflix’s documentary about sexual assault victims who are accused of filing false reports and prosecuted for it has hit at the right time in terms of poignancy and relevance. Unfortunately, the documentary seems to be a bit underwhelming in its technique, leaving something to be desired in tackling such an important subject. Its relevance keeps it noteworthy, but I think we can ask for better.

Showing Up: With an ever-widening release window from distributor A24, this Michelle Williams and Hong Chau-led film about a sculptor setting up a new exhibition from director Kelly Reichardt made some waves this past month. The 2022 Cannes hit has garnered praise for Williams’s performance and its simple pacing, but it’s been so under-the radar that its 47% Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes is going to be difficult to overcome.

Monica: Another 2022 festival darling that finally got its wide release this month, Monica tackles the delicate issues of aging and dying parents. Trace Lysette, Patricia Clarkson, and Emily Browning all bring the right type of star-power to the film, and in a year with a limited number of female-led films compared to years past, they have the potential to break in to some awards races. For now, this film remains on the outside looking in with just vaguely positive reviews.

Wild Life: National Geographic documentaries tend to be hit or miss when it comes to widespread acclaim, but their recent partnership with Disney has merited a little bit more recognition for the company. This particular doc, about conservationists Kris and Doug Tompkins, has struck a chord with some reviewers, though not on the level of last year’s hit Fire of Love. Keep an eye on it, but don’t put it on any must-watch lists just yet.

The Starling Girl: The Sundance and SXSW hit about religious trauma and coming of age got its wide release this month, to mostly positive critical reception and mixed reviews from audiences (probably due to its religious subject matter and the endless backlash from a certain portion of the American public whenever anything releases that vaguely goes against their beliefs). Still, with such a niche topic, it’s hard to see it breaking through beyond this underground success.

Sanctuary: The Margaret Qualley dominatrix movie that has everyone (filmstagram and film Twitter) talking seems to be more of a cult classic than a true all-time great. Still, with the right press tour and a continuing control of the conversation (unlikely, given all the more memeworthy stuff coming in the next couple of months) could result in a climb to the upper echelon of films for this one.

The Little Mermaid: With the money that it’s made and the not overwhelmingly negative reviews, it’s safe to say that this live action remake from Disney will go down as one of their more successful endeavors in that field. I’d be surprised to see much else from it when awards roll around, and without that it has no real shot of achieving greatness, but you never know for sure (Cruella really did do some crazy things a few years back).

Possible Things:

BlackBerry: I don’t know why we’re getting so many movies about the invention of things this year (Flamin’ Hot comes out in June), but we are, and they seem to be doing well with audiences and critics. The Jay Baruchel and Glenn Howerton-starring film explores the creation of “the world’s first smartphone” and its inevitable demise and seems to have hit the right blend of history, drama, and comedy for some more love down the road.

Reality: Sydney Sweeney might really be her. The film about the interrogation of whistleblower Reality Winner released last Monday on Max to serious critical acclaim. Sweeney’s performance seems to be the most noteworthy piece of the film, so she’s really the one to look out for here.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: The emotional conclusion to the Guardians trilogy has been the most successful MCU film in a while, and its place as one of the highest-grossing and most beloved by audiences put it in a good place to get the hair/makeup, costume design, and visual effects nominations it needs to get the points it needs for Greatness.

You Hurt My Feelings: Julia Louis-Dreyfus’s latest team-up with director Nicole Holofcener has been hitting the right notes with critics and fans. The dramedy about an author who hears her husband giving a less-than-encouraging review of her latest book hits the right notes, and Louis-Dreyfus is again in her element working with Holofcener.

Sure Things:

Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie: The Apple TV+ documentary about the life and career of Michael J. Fox is the can’t-miss film from the month of May, achieving critical and popular acclaim from just about everyone who has watched it so far. Fox’s optimism in the face of everything and the encouragement his story brings to the world and those around him makes it a truly classic documentary.

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Movies, Recap, March Everett Mansur Movies, Recap, March Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - March 2023 Recap

March stayed true to character, delivering some excellent indie flicks and some originality in its blockbusters that has given us the first “sure thing” of the year.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review, and recommendation. This week, we have come to the end of another month of film and will be recapping the best films of March 2023, categorizing them by their chances at making the blog’s list of Greatest Films of All Time. March is a fun month, heralding the return of spring blockbusters and indie hits who just might become awards darlings if they play their cards right (see last year’s Everything Everywhere All at Once for reference), and this March stayed true to character, delivering some excellent indie flicks and some originality in its blockbusters that has given us the first “sure thing” of the year. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Scream VI: The franchise’s best reviewed film of the millennium (since Scream 2) still probably doesn’t have the chops to get the slasher parody films onto the list of Greatest Films of All Time, even if they deserve more recognition than they currently have. It’s a horror sequel, which definitely goes against it in terms of reviews and awards potential, but it’s undeniably a solid entry and one to keep an eye on as the year progresses.

Chang Can Dunk: Look, I didn’t expect anything from this Disney+ film about an Asian high schooler who decides to learn to dunk to defeat his bullies, but its reviews are so much more positive than I think anyone expected (a 77 Metacritic and 95% Tomatometer), making it a surprise under-the-radar hit. Don’t expect to hear much more from this one, but still, its success bears mentioning.

A Good Person: Florence Pugh stays picking projects that don’t quite live up to their on-screen potential. Zach Braff’s latest directorial endeavor is no different, keeping audiences decently happy without really hitting any of the right notes for critics. If anything, I’d expect this film to be mentioned as a contribution to some awards campaign for a different film for Florence Pugh this year.

Kill Boksoon: The premise of Netflix’s Korean action-thriller alone is enough to get it mentioned – a single mother who also happens to be a hired killer struggles to find a work-life balance. I love the concept, but it seems that the film executes it in fairly unremarkable fashion. Its reviews make it sound like an enjoyable watch that’s not overly ambitious or groundbreaking. Still, an opening at Berlinale might have given this film the right clout it needs to mount a larger campaign later this year.

Possible Things:

Creed III: At this point, it feels almost like the film’s shot at any greater love beyond its initial push is now dead in the water after Jonathan Majors’s arrest. If Majors ends up not being charged and things work out, we might hear more about this film again toward the year’s end. For me, this was the best film of the month, but it’s not quite sitting at the level of reviews to get it onto the list on its own.

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves: Arguably the biggest surprise hit of the year so far, the D&D movie has been pleasing audiences of avid gameplayers and simple fans of action movies pretty much across the board. With its all-star cast, this does make sense, but it could easily have been just a Fast and Furious film in a fantasy setting. Instead, it currently sits with a Metacritic score of 71 and 91% Tomatometer. If this film can pull some love from the technical side of awards later on this year, it might make its way onto the list.

A Thousand and One: It’s so hard to tell which indie releases are going to make the right moves to get themselves more universally recognized later on in the year, but right now, the reviews of Teyana Taylor’s performance and the whole film about a mother trying to keep her son out of the foster system seem to indicate that this film is one to keep an eye on.

Rye Lane: It’s rare to have a streaming romantic comedy get the recognition that this Sundance darling currently has, and that’s so refreshing. Genre films don’t usually get a lot of love from the awards entities, but I wouldn’t be overly surprised to see some writing nominations for this one and maybe even some outside love, particularly from the BAFTAs, for the actors in this film.

Sure Thing:

John Wick: Chapter 4: For the fourth film in a franchise to be its most universally acclaimed and highest grossing is fairly unthinkable in this day and age, but that’s currently where we are sitting with the final(?) John Wick film. Its technical excellence and sheer entertainment value make it likely to gain even more acclaim as the year progresses, but even if things sit as they currently are, the action sequel will earn itself a spot on the blog’s list when the next round of revisions come out next year.

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New Release, November, Recap Everett Mansur New Release, November, Recap Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - November 2022 Recap

This past month saw the continuation of awards season rollouts combined with the big hitters of the Thanksgiving weekend, giving us a few films that might be all-timers, a few surprise flops, and plenty of films in-between.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review and recommendation. This week, we have come to the end of November, with plenty of new potential films for the list having come out. We’ll take a look at the best ones from the past month, look at why they could make the list and what people are saying about them. Like always, the films have been categorized into three groups: Long Shots, which probably won’t make their way onto the list, but that have been getting enough buzz to warrant mentioning; Possible Things, which could potentially make the list if they make enough at the box office and/or get enough love from awards season; and Sure Things, which are almost certainly going to get full on reviews on the blog, and find their place onto our countdown. This past month saw the continuation of awards season rollouts combined with the big hitters of the Thanksgiving weekend, giving us a few films that might be all-timers, a few surprise flops, and plenty of films in-between. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Armageddon Time: One of a couple of semi-autobiographical films released this past month, James Gray’s contribution is well-acted but hasn’t wowed audiences to the extent that it probably needs to if it wants to earn a spot on “the list”. The story about airing out racist family history, while impactful, seems to be too heavy-handed to be truly impactful rather than preachy, but Jeremy Strong and Anthony Hopkins bring some solid performances to keep it afloat.

My Father’s Dragon: From the production company that brought us hits like Wolfwalkers and The Breadwinner, this animated film has again come to Netflix with plenty of heart and culturally relevant messaging. Unfortunately, critics and fans alike haven’t been nearly as high on this one as with its predecessors, and Netflix’s push for Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio as its primary animated film in awards season is inevitably going to leave this one out of the spotlight. It’s certainly worth considering though.

The Wonder: Sebastián Lelio’s adaptation of Emma Donoghue’s novel seems to be true to the book and decently acted, though Florence Pugh’s aggressive frowning has begun to wear on some reviewers that I’ve seen talking about this one. For this particular film, its niche subject matter and release on Netflix will probably leave it out of any major conversations and understandably so.

Causeway: A24’s and Apple TV+’s character study of a struggling Afghanistan veteran and her relationship with a pool cleaner after she returns home has received rave reviews for both Jennifer Lawrence and Brian Tyree Henry. However, their acting hasn’t been enough to salvage its apparently disjointed and less-than-relatable story, keeping it fairly far away from becoming an instant classic.

Weird: The Al Yankovic Story: Daniel Radcliffe’s exaggerated Weird Al biopic has been one of the pleasant surprises of the month, leaving everyone who’s seen it with a sense of surprised enjoyment. It’s nothing incredibly groundbreaking, just well-made and true to its subject matter. More people should see this one, even if it doesn’t break any kind of records. This one has the potential to make cult classic status sooner rather than later.

Selena Gomez: My Mind & Me: This documentary about Selena Gomez’s rise to stardom and her struggles with mental health in the process has been a pleasant surprise for Apple TV+. Her current popularity in Hollywood and the relevant messaging about mental health will keep it in contention, but the critics don’t necessarily love it like that, so don’t expect to hear too much else about it.

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever: Marvel’s bookend to Phase 4 is undoubtedly their best outing of 2022, but even the well-crafted tribute to Chadwick Boseman hasn’t been fully able to overcome its excessive storylines or the general sense of superhero burnout in the culture right now. Its four straight (barring a crazy upset by Violent Night this weekend) number one box office run haven’t gotten it up to its predecessor’s $1 billion gross, but potential awards season love keep this one higher up in the running than some of the others in this section.

The Menu: Mark Mylod’s satirical thriller is phenomenal but not overly groundbreaking. Again, this is a better film than many of the other long shots this month, but I just don’t see this one making a big enough splash at either the box office or the major film awards to make its way among the ranks of the classics on “the list”.

Strange World: Disney animation’s latest release has been a bit of a surprise flop, projected to lose millions of dollars at the box office and struggling with review bombing from certain “fans” upset over the gay teen character. Unfortunately, its marketing strategy seems to have kept people from seeing this one in droves, and it looks to become more of a nostalgic classic like Treasure Planet, Atlantis, or Lilo and Stitch than an all-time great like Frozen, Big Hero 6, or Zootopia.

Devotion: This war plane movie featuring Glen Powell has not received the love that Top Gun: Maverick did. Its story and Jonathan Majors’s performance sound like the right pieces to build a great film around. Critics and fans seem to be indicating that this one is just okay, carried very much so by Majors, so don’t expect this one to dethrone Tom Cruise any time soon.

Mickey: The Story of a Mouse: Disney’s documentary about the impact and development of Mickey Mouse throughout history has received decently positive reviews and is readily available on Disney+. With all the other great documentaries releasing this year, I don’t see the Mickey Mouse one rising to the top though.

The Swimmers: Netflix’s biopic about the incredible story of Olympic swimmers Sara and Yusra Mardini and their journey from Syria to the Olympics has all the makings of a heartwarming sports movie. That’s not necessarily the makings of one of the Greatest Films of All Time, but the film’s commitment to representation and telling a new story is certainly worth checking out.

Possible Things:

Good Night Oppy: Amazon Prime’s documentary about the fifteen-year work of Mars rover Oppy has stormed onto the scene with a surprisingly heartfelt story about the work of NASA and this little rover on Mars. It currently sits as one of the favorites to win best documentary at awards shows this year, which might be enough to classify it as one of the classic documentaries and best ever made.

Is That Black Enough for You?!?: Elvis Mitchell’s documentary about the history of black cinema, centered on its evolution in the 1970s, has received rave reviews since its release on Netflix. I don’t know that it’ll make a big enough splash to achieve that classic documentary status, but it’s certainly a solid watch for fans of film history.

She Said: The film about the two reporters who finally broke the Harvey Weinstein story hasn’t necessarily been a huge box office hit, but people who have seen it have been pleasantly surprised with its tactful handling of its subject matter and with Carey Mulligan’s performance as Megan Twohey. She alone keeps this as a possible thing, as the Supporting Actress category feels relatively wide open still since Michelle Williams has moved her hat to the Lead Actress ring.

The Inspection: Elegance Bratton’s film about a gay, black marine has been slowly rising in hype since its festival run earlier this year. In particular, the story’s marked relevance in the current environment and Jeremy Pope’s moving performance seem to be edging this film toward a dark-horse awards run. I’m excited to see how it does as more and more people get to see it.

Bones and All: A cannibal romantic drama shouldn’t work, but for whatever reason, Luca Guadagnino’s newest film is defying all odds. Its visceral nature has kept plenty of moviegoers away, but those who have seen it praise Chalamet’s performance and the undeniable chemistry between him and Taylor Russell. If you can get past some squeamishness, this’ll probably be worth a watch.

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery: The sequel to Rian Johnson’s wildly successful whodunnit received a fairly wide limited release this past month. In the process, fans and critics alike seem to be agreeing that this film is even better than the first, which received multiple awards nominations in its run. Janelle Monáe is this film’s scene-stealer, and when it releases on Netflix this month, expect to hear even more about it.

Stutz: This documentary, chronicling conversations between Jonah Hill and his therapist Phil Stutz, looks to be one of the most poignant conversations on mental health in the world of Hollywood in recent history, featuring Hill at his most raw, diving into what makes the movie industry tick. It’ll be interesting to see how the awards shows respond, but their love for things about movies and moviemaking lends itself to this film’s potential for success.

EO: Poland’s submission for the Best International Feature Film this year follows a donkey as he experiences many different situations around Europe – good, bad, and indifferent – without ever really changing expressions. Its an experimental film, reminiscent of Au Hasard Balthazar, that could easily become an all-time classic with the right run and more views.

Sure Things:

The Fabelmans: Still this year’s best picture frontrunner, Spielberg’s heartfelt homage to his family and his love for filmmaking looks to be yet another instant classic from the prolific director. Its reviews from both audiences and critics remain overwhelmingly positive, and I highly recommend giving this one a watch, as I said in last week’s Weekend Watch.

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Movie Review, Drama, Family Everett Mansur Movie Review, Drama, Family Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - The Fabelmans

The Fabelmans is a triumph of a film, showcasing some great acting performances and the director’s passion for filmmaking.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review, and recommendation. This week’s topic, as voted by the blog’s Instagram followers is Steven Spielberg’s latest offering, the semi-autobiographical The Fabelmans about a young Jewish boy who wants to become a filmmaker and his family. The film released on Wednesday and stars Gabriel LaBelle, Michelle Williams, Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch, Seth Rogen, Mateo Zoryan, and Julia Butters. Let’s get into it.

Letter Grade: A-; Spielberg pays homage to so much greatness in here, but it’s lacking a bit in emotional weight.

Should you Watch This Film? Probably so, this will easily go down as one of the best films of 2022, and there’s plenty in here for all kinds of movie fans. On the big screen it looks great, but I’m sure it’ll be solid at home as well if you really can’t make it.

Why?

                The more I think about The Fabelmans, the more I grow to love it. Spielberg works his semi-autobiography as more of a family study and homage to the power of the camera than as a biopic or an homage to watching films. In that way, it successfully subverted my expectations and left me still thoroughly enjoying myself at the end. Each of its parts on their own is great, and together, they coalesce into something uniquely great as well. From the performances to the references to filmmaking to the little bits of home filmmaking thrown in as well, it all coheres into something worth seeing.

                Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch, Gabriel LaBelle, and Michelle Williams are the acting highlights of The Fabelmans, each doing his or her own part to make the film what it is. Dano’s Burt Fabelman ends up as the sympathetic father figure, condemned to distance from his family by his own technical genius and practical mind. Dano does an admirable job bringing humanity to this character and keeping him redeemable throughout. Judd Hirsch’s ten minutes of screen time as Uncle Boris might be the best part of the entire film. He comes in as this otherworldly figure to mourn the loss of his sister, Sammy’s grandmother, and stays to give Sammy the advice that will shape his future endeavors, noting that his passion for film and his love for his family will tear him apart if he isn’t careful. Relative newcome Gabriel LaBelle plays the teenage version of Sammy in the film and carries the film’s third act, which is more of a high school rom-com than anything else, as we see the character and the actor come into their own by the film’s conclusion. If you’ve been paying any attention to Oscar buzz, you know that Michelle Williams’s performance as Mitzi Fabelman has been a seeming shoe-in for one of the Best Actress nominations, and she more than delivers here. Her portrayal of a mother and woman with passions and flaws and grace and everything else drives the film’s narrative for a good portion, and she bears that weight beautifully.

                In the midst of Spielberg’s family drama, he weaves details of filmmaking like editing machines and camera models and shot framing to remind the audience that this isn’t just a film about his life but also a film about his passion. Through cutaways to family films and self-produced westerns and war movies, Spielberg endears himself and the film to the audience as he so often does, asking them to relate and want more by imparting a bit of his own passion to the audience. If there is to be any gripe with The Fabelmans, it is that, by including these other films and belaboring certain points of discovery and passion, the emotional moments of the film end up feeling very telegraphed and, as such, not overly moving. The rest of the film hits the points it needs to, making the audience love and care for each of the characters and get on board with Spielberg’s love for filmmaking; it’s just the emotional catharsis that never quite finds purchase.

                The Fabelmans is a triumph of a film, showcasing some great acting performances and the director’s passion for filmmaking. Expect to hear its name a lot in the coming months of film awards, as it is deserving of plenty with its star-studded cast and great technical aspects. Its emotional shortcomings are more than overcome with an engrossing story and quality filmmaking across the board.

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New Movie, Recap, October Everett Mansur New Movie, Recap, October Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - October 2022 Recap

This past month, we started easing back into the awards season, getting a few films that will go down as truly great alongside some streaming sleeper hits and the classic October offerings of new horror releases.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where, each week, we take a look at a new piece of film or television media and give it a rating, review, and recommendation. This week, we’re looking back at the month of October and its many film releases. In these recaps, we highlight the films that have some chance at making it onto this blog’s list of Greatest Films of All Time in three different categories – long shots, possible things, and sure things. This past month, we started easing back into the awards season, getting a few films that will go down as truly great alongside some streaming sleeper hits and the classic October offerings of new horror releases. Let’s get into it.

Long Shots:

Wendell and Wild: Netflix’s stop-motion film from Henry Selick and Key and Peele had a lot of people excited going into October. Reviews since its release have been a bit underwhelming and its ratings are continuing to decline, but it’s worth keeping an eye on as a long shot if nothing else.

Terrifier 2: This horror sequel has kept fans of the first film happy and has elicited some legendary audience reactions already. Its nature as a horror film and a sequel will undoubtedly keep it out of any major conversation in the coming months of awards season, but this one merits mentioning simply for its shock factor and faithful follow-up to the original.

To Leslie: This indie drama about a former lottery starring Allison Janney and Andrea Risborough is based on a true story and has done well among critics in its limited release. It will most likely fly under most people’s radars and remain as a cult hit only, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

Catherine Called Birdy: Amazon Prime Video’s genre-breaking period film from Lena Dunham starring Bella Ramsey of Game of Thrones and The Last of Us fame has done decently with critics and has audiences giving mixed responses (mostly due to its feminist message and Dunham’s questionably problematic nature). It’s worth checking out and remains a long shot for now.

Stars at Noon: Claire Denis’s latest work hasn’t wowed audiences or critics like some of her past works, but the romantic thriller starring Margaret Qualley and Joe Alwyn remains a long shot simply for its name recognition and star power.

The Good Nurse: Netflix’s chilling based-on-a-true-story film starring Jessica Chastain and Eddie Redmayne is very much a vehicle for strong performances from both actors. Its mixed reviews will probably keep it from rising much beyond a bubble awards film, but on the off chance that it makes a solid push, we’ll mention it here.

Call Jane: Yet another film this year on the topic of abortion throws its hat into the ring. This one is set in the U.S. before Roe and stars Elizabeth Banks and Sigourney Weaver in a film based on the true story of an underground group of women who sought to provide safe abortions in the late 1960s. It hasn’t gotten the most solid reviews, but its topical nature keeps it in the conversation.

Possible Things:

Triangle of Sadness: The Palme d’Or winner from Cannes this year finally got its theatrical release in the U.S. this past month. So far, its reviews have been tracking with those it received at festivals, keeping fans happy with Reuben Östlund’s work and critics mixed on the over-the-top nature of the film’s absurdities. Past success at festivals indicates this one will be worth keeping an eye on as award season ramps up in the coming months.

All Quiet on the Western Front: Edward Berger’s remake of the classic film has already been announced World War I film’s overwhelmingly positive reviews seem to indicate that it will be a frontrunner in that category and even a fringe possibility for Best Picture votes – definitely worth checking out on Netflix if you haven’t already.

The Redeem Team: The Netflix documentary about the 2008 U.S. Men’s Olympic basketball team has found success with both fans and critics. It exists in a fairly safe space among documentaries, focusing on well-known celebrities and a popular sport and could get the awards buzz needed to elevate it to a more permanent place among those docs.

Emily: Frances O’Connor’s Emily Brontë biopic/romance has kept its small audiences happy since its release in the middle of this past month. Emma Mackey has received praise for her portrayal of the titular character, and it’s definitely a film worth finding if you can in the coming months.

Till: The film portrayal of the tragic story of Emmett Till and his mother’s quest to get justice for her son has quickly risen to prominence as a vehicle for a career-defining performance from Danielle Deadwyler. Its historical depictions and modern relevance keeps it very much in the conversation going into awards season and beyond.

Decision to Leave: Park Chan-wook’s mystery/romance that released in the U.S. this past month was at one point the frontrunner in the Best International Film race but has slowed in momentum somewhat. Nevertheless, the film continues to wow audiences, consistent with Park’s other works and the films of South Korea from the past few years. Even if it gets no awards love, this will still be worth catching if you can.

All That Breathes: This documentary about two brothers seeking to ensure the survival of the Black Kite amidst the environmental struggles of Delhi has quickly risen to prominence among critics and some fans as well. The film’s very relevant messages about pollution and environmentalism make it a prime option for awards going into the season. This’ll be worth checking out when it hits streaming for sure.

Sure Things:

Tár: Todd Field’s film about the prolific composer-conductor Lydia Tár has audiences and critics alike thrilled with its filmmaking and acting. Cate Blanchett’s leading performance has her sitting at the top of most people’s best actress lists this year, and the film’s high-quality editing and unique pacing leave it as an unquestionably great film that will no doubt be discussed for years to come.

The Banshees of Inisherin: Martin McDonagh is back at it with the dynamic duo of Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleeson in this dark comedy about two friends who have fallen out of friendship on a small Irish island. The film’s beautiful location shooting, excellent acting, and well-balanced script have all been praised by fans and critics alike. Most of McDonagh’s works shouldn’t be skipped, but this has the potential to be his greatest film to date, potentially securing first-time Oscar nominations for all four of its leading performers.

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Recap, July, Movie Review Everett Mansur Recap, July, Movie Review Everett Mansur

Weekend Watch - July 2022 Recap

Just as with June, July was a pretty sparse month for “Great Films”.

                Welcome back to the Weekend Watch where each week, we take a look at a new piece of film or television media that has recently released and give you a review and recommendation for it. As we have now come to the end of the month of July, this week is devoted to recapping the films that released in the month of July and have a shot of making it onto the site’s list of Greatest Films of All Time. Just as with June, July was a pretty sparse month for “Great Films”, so there are no Sure Things this month again. We do have a few in the Possible Things and Long Shots categories though, so let’s take a look.

Long Shots:

Minions: The Rise of Gru: This animated viral sensation is already one of the highest grossing films of the year, but its mediocre critic reviews keep it only at a long shot. It will probably need some success at one or more of the awards shows to make it up to true “Great” status. This doesn’t mean that the film is bad. Check out the Weekend Watch that I did on it a few weeks ago if you want to know the blog’s opinion.

Thor: Love and Thunder: The MCU’s latest outing seems to have slipped back into the Marvel Phase 1 levels of critical and fan reception. It’s a really good time, but the film struggles as a follow-up to the wildly successful Thor: Ragnarok. Taika Waititi’s brand of mixing wacky comedy with emotional weight seems to have missed the mark somewhat with this one, but its visuals and box office numbers keep it as a long shot.

The Sea Beast: Netflix’s animated fantasy film starring Karl Urban’s voice seems to have hit a successful chord among audiences and critics, sitting at a 94% Tomatometer score and 87% Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes. However, its other numbers are only a little above average, and with Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio also releasing from Netflix later this year, it’s difficult to imagine the streaming service getting two Best Animated Picture nominees.

Where the Crawdads Sing: 30- and 40-something women across the U.S. are keeping this film’s hopes alive, along with the fact that I’ve seen enough critics praising Daisy Edgar-Jones’s performance to make me think she has (very) long odds to get some nominations come awards season. Other than that, the film doesn’t have much great about it, but we’ll see.

Vengeance: B.J. Novak’s feature film directorial debut came out in wide release this weekend to relatively positive reviews, if somewhat mixed. For Texans, his film is near perfect, delivering a well-researched story that features some very solid depictions of the state and its people. For everyone else, the film’s story does at times get overshadowed by Novak’s messaging coming through in the dialogue. It’s good, but not great, and it’s hard to see this getting looks for much besides its writing come awards season.

DC League of Super-Pets: The Dwayne Johnson-Kevin Hart animated comedy about Krypto the Super-Dog and his pet companions is going to make a decent splash at the box office, as Johnson’s films inevitably do. So far, it has also seen quite a bit of success among audiences but not as much among critics. Its mixed numbers and the high number of animated films in the running for awards this year will probably keep it off the list.

A Love Song: This indie film about aging romance that released this weekend starring Dale Dickey and Wes Studi has all the makings of a really solid film. Unfortunately, we are in a year when so many other indie films (two or three so far, all from A24) have gained cult followings that it feels like this one is going to fly too far under the radar to get the awards love it will need to make it onto the list.

Possible Things:

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris: Audiences and critics alike have predominantly positive things to say about this Lesley Manville-led film about a widow who reopens the House of Dior in Paris in the 1950s. The film’s positive message, solid acting, and great costuming make it a possible hit for something when the Awards nominations start rolling out.

Gabby Giffords Won’t Back Down: This documentary about Gabby Giffords, the Congresswoman who was shot in an attempted assassination back in 2011, and her perseverance getting through life since then is directed by the same people who did the Oscar-nominated RBG documentary, so there’s definitely a shot for this film. It's not a sure thing yet, mainly because it just doesn’t have the critical success that so many documentaries often enjoy.

Nope: Jordan Peele’s third film currently looks to have a better shot at the list than Us did. Audiences like this one more, and it has some beautiful cinematography and a simpler story to help it along. Its scores aren’t quite high enough to make it a sure thing, but don’t be surprised to see it jump up come awards season.

Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song: This documentary about Leonard Cohen and his song “Hallelujah” has been a solid hit with critics and audiences. A nomination and/or win for feature documentary at some awards shows would help this one rise up onto the list.

Accepted: This documentary covers a school in Louisiana with some controversial teaching and disciplinary practices that also happened to have a ridiculously high acceptance rate among Ivy League schools. The film documents the discovery of potential abuses and engages with the question of how far people are willing to go to get into “good schools”. Its reviews are relatively positive, but not many people have seen it so far, so we’ll keep it as just a possibility for now.

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